Weathering The Storm
by Julie Cook Ramirez
The low-carb craze may have bitten the dust, but juice
makers are still wringing their hands, thanks to hurricane-related citrus shortages.
The poor juice category
just can’t seem to catch a break. No sooner had we witnessed the
demise of the low-carb craze that had put a chill on juice sales when
hurricanes Katrina and Wilma arrived, ravaging the Gulf Coast and wiping
out fully one-third of Florida’s citrus crops.
While that state’s citrus growers normally
generate 280 million boxes of produce each year, early projections for this
winter’s harvest have growers generating enough to fill just 186
million boxes — 34 percent below average. Grapefruit, in particular,
was disproportionately affected by the storms, with producers harvesting a
measly 16 million boxes worth, down from a 45 million box average — a
65 percent shortfall.
“Grapefruit gets impacted to a larger degree
just because of the forces of gravity,” says Tedd Heilmann, pool
director for juice and other programs at Organic Valley, La Farge, Wis.
“They are bigger and heavier, and when the wind starts blowing, they
are the first ones to blow off the trees.”
Organic Valley was forced to abandon grapefruit juice
altogether, at least for the short term, while other juice companies turned
to new sources of citrus, including Texas, California, Arizona and Mexico.
Those juice makers who had already aligned themselves with citrus growers
in other areas had a much easier time weathering the storm.
“(The hurricanes) didn’t have a major
impact,” says Jeff Damiano, director of marketing for Apple &
Eve, Port Washington, N.Y. “We always keep our options open in case
of natural disasters, so that we can move quickly somewhere else to secure
raw materials.”
Not surprisingly, the citrus shortage forced many
juice makers to raise their prices. As a result, the category never
experienced the robust recovery that many juice makers predicted was in the
making just a few months earlier.
Overall refrigerated juice/drink sales rose a meek 2.3
percent in dollars and 1.2 percent in units across supermarkets, drugstores
and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, during the 52-week period
ending October 2, 2005, according to Chicago-based Information Resources
Inc (IRI).
The Silver Lining
While major juice brands found themselves with little
alternative but to raise prices in the aftermath of the hurricanes, organic
juice companies were spared the extent of their wrath.
As Heilmann explains, the storms were “a little more forgiving”
in areas with significant organic citrus production.
“That allowed us to keep a decent supply of
juice and not have to raise our price to the same level as others have been
forced to do,” he says.
REFRIGERATED JUICE AND DRINK SALES* | |||||
$ Sales (In Millions) | % Change vs. Year Ago | Unit sales (In Millions) | %change vs. Year Ago | ||
Total Category | $3,942.4 | 2.3% | 1,727.9 | 1.2% | |
All Other Fruit Juice | 80.8 | 72.3 | 19.6 | 59.8 | |
Apple Juice | 8.3 | -4.4 | 4.4 | 1.2 | |
Blended Fruit Juice | 209.2 | -1.8 | 81.1 | 4.3 | |
Cider | 46.2 | 6.3 | 17.1 | 3.5 | |
Cocktail Mixes | 0.2 | -4.8 | 0.1 | -3.6 | |
Cranberry Cocktail/Drink | 3.9 | -27.2 | 1.5 | -30.7 | |
Cranberry Juice/Blend | 1.2 | -0.5 | 0.3 | -11.2 | |
Fruit Drink | 689.3 | 10.2 | 422.5 | 8.9 | |
Fruit Nectar | 14.7 | -12.4 | 5.9 | -6.3 | |
Grape Juice | 1.6 | 52.2 | 0.6 | 72.1 | |
Grapefruit Cocktail/Drink | 1.2 | 587.2 | 0.5 | 533.8 | |
Grapefruit Juice | 67.7 | -19.8 | 22.6 | -33.0 | |
Juice and Drink Smoothies | 46.0 | 42.0 | 18.0 | 21.2 | |
Lemon/Lime Juice | 5.8 | 17.5 | 4.3 | 19.5 | |
Lemonade | 111.9 | 10.0 | 73.3 | 9.3 | |
Orange Juice | 2,614.8 | -0.9 | 1,043.1 | -1.8 | |
Pineapple Juice | 12.6 | 16.0 | 4.7 | 17.0 | |
Vegetable Juice/Cocktail | 26.6 | 36.0 | 8.2 | 28.5 | |
* Total sales in supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, for the 52-week period ending October 2, 2005. SOURCE: Information Resources Inc. |
TOP 10 REFRIGERATED TEA BRANDS* | |||||
$ Sales (In Millions) | % Change vs. Year Ago | Unit sales (In Millions) | %change vs. Year Ago | ||
Total Category | $167.6 | 20.5% | 101.0 | 15.0% | |
Turkey Hill | 48.4 | 22.2 | 28.9 | 19.2 | |
Private Label | 19.7 | 13.0 | 14.9 | 15.5 | |
Red Diamond | 17.7 | 30.6 | 10.1 | 26.2 | |
Bolthouse | 13.7 | 366.1 | 4.8 | 318.1 | |
Milo’s | 10.0 | 18.3 | 5.3 | 18.5 | |
Nestea | 8.7 | -0.2 | 4.2 | 2.4 | |
Arizona | 7.2 | -6.1 | 3.5 | -5.9 | |
Clover Farms | 4.1 | -12.3 | 2.6 | -10.4 | |
Swiss Premium | 3.6 | -9.8 | 3.1 | -18.7 | |
Rosenberger’s Dairies | 3.3 | 24.7 | 2.4 | 21.9 | |
* Total sales in supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart,for the 52-week period ending October 2, 2005. SOURCE: Information Resources Inc. |
By holding the line and not raising prices too
drastically, organic juice companies have been able to “narrow the
gap” between the cost of premium conventional juice and organic
juice. As a result, Heilmann says, those consumers who had been tempted to
try organic but were turned off by the price are now more willing to give
it a try.
“When that gap shrinks, it always stimulates our
growth,” Heilmann says, adding that Organic Valley has experienced 30
percent increase in juice sales over the past year.
Recognizing the growing demand for organic products,
Apple & Eve is preparing for a line extension on its Organics line,
which is currently available in Apple, Cranberry Blueberry, Peach Mango and
Vintage Concord, along with Lemonade and Green Tea Lemonade.
According to Damiano, the company has moved beyond the
upscale organic class of trade and is now doing a “very healthy
business” with its traditional supermarket customers. Apple & Eve
is also preparing to unveil a new package, designed to appeal to kids and
adults alike.
“A lot of the young moms who are coming into the
juice segment are being much more discriminating in terms of the products
they are buying for their kids,” Damiano says. “They were
already buying into the 100 percent juice position, but now they are
looking for the next healthy choice, which is 100 percent juice
organics.”
Langer Juice Co., City of Industry, Calif., is also
openly targeting kids and moms with its new organic line, dubbed Fragile
Planet. Initially available in two varieties — Apple and Concord Grape — Fragile Planet will be sold in 32- and
64-ounce containers.
Langer has also unveiled new packaging for its frozen
juices. The company’s new 11.5-ounce clear octagonal plastic
container offers several advantages over paper composite cans; in addition
to being microwaveable, it’s also resealable, allowing the consumer
to make something less than a 48-ounce pitcher of juice.
Company president Bruce Langer is also completely sold
on pomegranate juice, which he says is “on fire” and
“bringing a lot of people into juice.” The company sells 100
percent pomegranate product, dubbed All-Pomegranate; several blended
cocktails; and Diet Pomegranate sweetened with Splenda. Despite the demise
of the low-carb craze, Langer says demand for reduced-sugar products still
runs high.
Apple & Eve is also keeping a watchful eye on the
trend toward more exotic fruit juices. In addition to pomegranate, he
cites Acai, an Amazon berry, as an emerging fruit juice.
Continued fortification remains high on
consumers’ wish lists, according to Richard Ross, senior director for
marketing at Chicago-based Tampico Beverages. The company is launching
Tampico Plus, the first nationally distributed reduced-sugar refrigerated
juice drink that’s calcium-fortified and enriched with vitamins A, C,
D and E.
Tampico has embraced Hispanic-influenced flavors
in its Tampico Plus line: Citrus, Mango, Kiwi Strawberry and Tropical. Also
planned for 2006 is Tampico Light, a new line of zero-calorie
fruit-flavored drinks. According to Ross, the health proposition is going
to help grow juice sales.
“Everybody is looking to feel better, and people
look at juices and drinks as great healthy alternatives to sugary soft
drinks,” he says. “Juices have always had an aura of
health around them, so the fact that you can use them as a delivery vehicle
for additional fortification is just a plus.”
Julie Cook Ramirez is a freelance journalist based in the Chicago
area.
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